ROLLUP: Prediction Market War | Base Leaves Optimism | Tomasz Exits EF | Clarity Act Lives | Harvard Buys ETH

A legal war over prediction markets just went public. Ryan and David break down the CFTC’s claim of exclusive authority, the backlash from state officials and lawmakers, and why this fight is really about whether markets or politics get to define truth. They explore why AI-powered prediction markets may be crypto’s strongest product-market fit yet, and why that scares regulators. Plus: Harvard rotates from Bitcoin into Ethereum, Base breaks from Optimism, Zora expands to Solana, the Ethereum Foundation leadership reshuffles, signs of life for the Clarity Act, institutions buying DeFi tokens, Europe’s unrealized-gains wealth tax, autonomous “life” on Ethereum, OpenAI’s EVMbench, and what ETHDenver says about where crypto goes next. --- 📣ROCKET POOL | PERMISSIONLESS STAKING https://bankless.cc/Rocketpool --- BANKLESS SPONSOR TOOLS: 🔮POLYMARKET | #1 PREDICTION MARKET https://bankless.cc/polymarket-podcast 🪐GALAXY | INSTITUTIONAL DIGITAL FINANCE https://bankless.cc/galaxy-podcast ⚡EUPHORIA | REAL-TIME ONE-TAP TRADING https://bankless.cc/euphoria 🏅BITGET TRADFI | TRADE GOLD WITH USDT https://bankless.cc/bitget 🌐BRIX | EMERGING MARKET YIELD https://bankless.cc/brix 🎯THE DEFI REPORT | ONCHAIN INSIGHTS https://bankless.cc/TDRpro --- TIMESTAMPS & RESOURCES 0:00 Intro 2:27 MARKETS https://x.com/hiwhaledegen/status/2023372409303450065 4:33 PREDICTION MARKETS REGULATORY FIGHT https://x.com/ChairmanSelig/status/2023744651216240966 https://x.com/GovChristie/status/2023821634344550892 https://x.com/SenWarren/status/2023877196323188764 https://x.com/govcox/status/2023795059980988874 https://x.com/RepCasten/status/2024212119491588303 https://x.com/brian_armstrong/status/2023794107274194944 https://x.com/SenatorHagerty/status/2023802779899252901 https://x.com/SenMcCormickPA/status/2023831838461194501 https://x.com/tyler/status/2023761976481259585 https://x.com/kylascan/status/2023786873605476719 https://x.com/ADoricko/status/2023834015699173398 https://x.com/abcampbell/status/2024281289700802568 https://x.com/NTmoney/status/2024505537514394104 25:18 BASE LEAVES OPTIMISM https://blog.base.dev/next-chapter-for-base-chain-1 https://x.com/lex_node/status/2024181767813427402 https://x.com/intangiblecoins/status/2024184295493886317 https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/optimism https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/arbitrum https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/polygon https://x.com/web3_data/status/2023716576126755249 https://polymarket.com/event/will-base-launch-a-token-in-2025-341/?via=bankles 35:24 ZORA EXPANDS TO SOLANA https://x.com/zora/status/2023797263651533053 https://x.com/js_horne/status/2023809356739838390 https://x.com/brian_armstrong/status/2023872648032272642 https://x.com/haydenzadams/status/2023990750082445561 40:04 ETHEREUM FOUNDATION SHAKEUP https://x.com/tkstanczak/status/2022315368430067847 https://x.com/VitalikButerin/status/2022318344288792618 https://x.com/aerugoettinea/status/2022318885047779576 https://x.com/dannyryan/status/2022318587281572257 44:56 CLARITY ACT SIGNS OF LIFE https://x.com/brian_armstrong/status/2024238762021036201 https://polymarket.com/event/clarity-act-signed-into-law-in-2026/?via=bankles https://x.com/altcoindaily/status/2024174959707541638 49:16 APOLLO x MORPHO (INSTITUTIONS BUYING DEFI TOKENS) https://x.com/AggrNews/status/2022482933974544669 https://x.com/RyanWatkins_/status/2022680420270379400 https://x.com/DefiIgnas/status/2023054776762876157 52:14 AAVE TOKEN ALIGNMENT PROPOSAL https://x.com/TheiaResearch/status/2022037595568603406 https://x.com/Marczeller/status/2022073505341219033 https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/aave 56:09 NETHERLANDS UNREALIZED GAINS WEALTH TAX https://x.com/BitcoinNewsCom/status/2021978390870347923 https://x.com/balajis/status/2022360046122995851 58:55 AUTONOMOUS LIFE ON ETHEREUM (CONWAY) https://x.com/0xSigil/status/2023877649475731671 https://x.com/sterlingcrispin/status/2024254432498639322 1:04:56 OPENAI EVMbench https://openai.com/index/introducing-evmbench/ 1:06:24 ETHDENVER REFLECTIONS https://x.com/EthereumDenver/status/2024234929840935318 https://x.com/TrustlessState/status/2024215091856527753 1:08:05 CLOSING & DISCLAIMERS --- Not financial or tax advice. See our investment disclosures here: https://www.bankless.com/disclosures