Majority Rules

Majority Rules

Carney has his majority — 174 seats after sweeping all three by-elections. First time a Canadian minority has become a majority through floor-crossings and by-elections. But the bigger story is the Conservative collapse underneath: worst by-election losses in a decade, per Eric Grenier at The Writ. The last time results looked this bad? 2014 — the year before Harper lost. We dig into what the majority actually unlocks (committees, not just vibes), whether Carney governs like he has a new mandate, and what the by-election numbers really tell us about where the Conservatives stand. Then across the Atlantic: UK May elections are three weeks out. Reform projected to control 60 councils. Labour bracing for historic losses in England, Scotland, and Wales. Andrew breaks down what four-party politics actually looks like on the ground. Plus: Orbán loses Hungary, and Quebec's October election just got a lot more interesting — the PQ is fading, the Liberals are surging under Charles Milliard, and the CAQ just chose Christine Fréchette as their new leader. A deeper Quebec dive with a guest expert is coming soon. Eric Grenier's analysis at The Writ: https://substack.com/home/post/p-193964435

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At the Bar: Is the Magic Button Broken?

At the Bar: Is the Magic Button Broken?

Six weeks ago Ginny Roth told us there’s a magic button in Canadian politics: press “Trump” and watch your numbers move. Carney pressed it. Doug Ford pressed it. Then Quebec shrugged, and B.C. seems t...

13 Loka 51min

Rudy Husny on Quebec's PQ minority win: "Sleep well, all is good."

Rudy Husny on Quebec's PQ minority win: "Sleep well, all is good."

Six months ago we had Rudy Husny on to ask whether Christine Fréchette could pull off a Mark Carney-style win in Quebec. The answer arrived Monday night: zero seats, down from ninety, and the premier ...

6 Loka 45min

Graham Lanktree on the last one percent of Canada–UK trade

Graham Lanktree on the last one percent of Canada–UK trade

Graham is POLITICO's senior trade reporter in London, and he covers Britain's trade relationships with Europe, the United States, and Canada. Last month he co-wrote the piece arguing that Carney's mid...

29 Syys 45min

Sean Speer: Conservative, but not in a bad mood about it

Sean Speer: Conservative, but not in a bad mood about it

Sean is editor-at-large at The Hub, was Stephen Harper's senior economic adviser, and is one of the more prolific policy writers in the country. He also spent the last month arguing a position most of...

24 Syys 50min

Sam Coates: Reform's £72 million pay day

Sam Coates: Reform's £72 million pay day

Two crypto billionaires gave Reform UK £72 million in 36 hours, more than every British party combined raised in all of 2025. All of it legal, for now. This week on Craft Politics: Sam Coates, Deputy...

16 Syys 43min

Darren Grimes: On Reform UK and What's Next

Darren Grimes: On Reform UK and What's Next

Reform UK is having the best year of its life. Official opposition in Wales. Seventeen seats in Scotland. Over 1,400 councillors. And yet Middle England still hasn't climbed aboard. This week on Craft...

8 Syys 45min

Ginny Roth: Trade War Reality Test

Ginny Roth: Trade War Reality Test

Ten days ago Ginny Roth posted a thread arguing that Canadians need to stop being shocked by Donald Trump and start making hard choices from a weak hand. Jason Kenney replied, accusing her of "craven ...

1 Syys 56min

How Vote Leave Actually Won — Nick Varley on the Brexit Ground War

How Vote Leave Actually Won — Nick Varley on the Brexit Ground War

Ten years ago, everyone who was supposed to know — the British government, the Bank of England, the IMF, half the world's economists, even President Obama — said Leave couldn't win. Then a campaign wi...

1 Heinä 53min

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