Privateer Station: War In Ukraine18 Huhti 2024

War in Ukraine, Analytics: Peace Plan For Ukraine. Intellectual Game Outside of Government Framework. Romanenko, Datsyuk, Arestovich

➤ 00:00 Intro
➤ 01:05 The essence of game at the lowest point of war - Turkish peace plan as a treaty between USA and Russian Federation.
➤ 03:09 Datsyuk: why do we see three contradictory signals at the same time in a war of attrition?
➤ 05:28 Arestovich: signals are going to different recepients. The Americans are draining the fiery impulse of Ukraine, where President Zelensky is an obstacle to peace. In Russia, the war party is an obstacle to peace. These obstacles make it difficult to bring the warring parties under US control.
➤ 08:40 Arestovich: Ukraine will thwart Russia's counteroffensive. US again suggests that Russia should not attack. Turkish peace plan is an attempt by the United States to create a collective security system between the US and Russian Federation. We should see EU versdion soon.The West trying to control both sides by regulating the volume of arms supplies to Ukraine.
➤ 11:45 Datsyuk: Ukraine and Russia are not playing on equal terms, using blackmail as bluff. US and EU find Russia's nuclear blackmail more believable. Ukraine can work on proposal that will suit everyone.
➤ 13:25 Datsyuk, Romanenko: real blackmail is Ukrainian attacks on Russian oil refineries, guerrilla warfare on Russian territory.
➤ 16:30 Arestovich: The West is not afraid of nuclear blackmail. In response, Russia is intensifying peace treaty efforts. The West started to hold Ukraine's hands when it conducted painful attacks on the Western interests in Russian territory.
➤ 18:50 Datsyuk: we analyze the first 5 points of a peace plan between Ukraine and Turkey.
➤ 21:10 Arestovich: blackmail has always been the main practice of international relations. Two options for blackmailing for Ukraine: capitulation, or a draft collective security agreement, hopefully a better one than all other proposed plans.
➤ 24:20 Datsyuk: we analyze the second 5 points of peace plan between Ukraine and Turkey. A proposal to include in Ukraine’s plan a project for a new architecture for the whole world.
➤ 28:15 Arestovich: points of Ukraine and Turkey peace plans are not ensured, they contain traps, they are unrealistic. Prospects for Ukraine: The Office of the President can provide a plan that actually works for everyone. Proposal to stop wars until 2040.
➤ 32:16 Datsyuk, Arestovich: investigation of war crimes of the warring parties.
➤ 33:05 Arestovich: the lowest point of the war has not yet been reached. Ukraine is moving towards a scenario where difficult conditions turn into "Force Majeure". How can Ukraine effect maximum losses onto Russian economy?
➤ 36:27 Romanenko, Arestovich: method of coercion of Ukraine. Ukraine will not be able to change the strategy of the West: Russia will be exhausted by Ukraine, and stubborn Ukraine will be broken as well.
➤ 38:58 Datsyuk, Arestovich. Historical fate of Ukraine: refusing a truce, it is destroying its potential and could turn into a gray zone in about a year. Destruction of Odessa and Kharkov. Dilemma: Ukraine is depleted faster than the West is persuaded and Russia is weakened.
➤ 45:05 Datsyuk, Arestovich: Ukraine’s game is to blackmail the West with the conquest by Russia? Ukraine has already taken the path of blackmail - under the Bolsheviks - but it turned out badly. Possible proposal from Ukraine to the United States.
➤ 50:05 Datsyuk, Arestovich: the situation in Ukraine is heading towards "Force Majeure". Ukraine’s chance is to overcome selfishness, look at the situation with collective security in the world, adjust the Peace Formula and propose a better plan to take into account the real interests of all countries at the summit in Switzerland.
➤ 57:10 Datsyuk, Arestovich: the intellectual game outside of governments framework is already underway.
➤ 59:15 Fundraiser forUkrainian Armed Forces.

English translation #PrivateerStation.

Olexiy Arestovych (Kiev): Former Advisor to the Office of the President of Ukraine: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oleksiy_Arestovych Official channel: https://www.youtube.com/c/arestovych Social Media: https://lnk.bio/alexey.arestovich

Yuriy Romanenko, Ukraine Politologist. https://www.youtube.com/ yuriyromanenko_ukraine

Sergey Datsyuk is a Ukrainian philosopher and advisor to the Gardarika Strategic Consulting Corp. https://ukrainianpost.com/opinions/226-war-for-a-new-civilization

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