China's Demographic Time Bomb and America's Economic Future

China's Demographic Time Bomb and America's Economic Future

In today's episode, Noah Smith and Erik Torenberg answer listeners' questions and discuss global economic issues such as China's demographic challenges, currency crises, GDP vs. GDP per capita, the efficacy of long prison sentences, and the risks and benefits of economic stimulus, currency depreciation, and trade imbalances.


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RECOMMENDED PODCAST: Modern Relationships

Check out Modern Relationships, where Erik Torenberg interviews tech power couples and leading thinkers to explore how ambitious people actually make partnerships work. Founders Fund's Delian Asparouhov and researcher Nadia Asparouhova kick off the series with an unfiltered conversation about their relationship evolution.

Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/id1786227593

Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/5hJzs0gDg6lRT6r10mdpVg

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@ModernRelationshipsPod


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Highlights from the Episode:

  • The U.S. trade deficit represents IOUs to other countries that must eventually be paid back or partially defaulted on through inflation. A persistent trade deficit is not in America's long-term interest.
  • There are two main types of economic crises: currency crises (typically involving inflation) and deflationary depressions. They require opposite policy responses - austerity for currency crises and stimulus for deflationary depressions.
  • China is currently experiencing a deflationary crisis due to its real estate bubble burst and debt overhang, leading to falling prices and attempts to export their way out of trouble.


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SPONSORS:


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SEND US YOUR Q's FOR NOAH TO ANSWER ON AIR: Econ102@Turpentine.co

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FOLLOW ON X:

@noahpinion

@eriktorenberg

@turpentinemedia

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LINKS:

Noahpinion: https://www.noahpinion.blog/

https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/good-cities-cant-exist-without-public

https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/macroeconomics-the-predator-of-foolish

Jaksot(114)

Why Libertarianism Fragmented, How the Right Became Statist, and Culture Wars

Why Libertarianism Fragmented, How the Right Became Statist, and Culture Wars

In episode 2, Noah Smith and Erik Torenberg track the fracturing of the Libertarian movement, the culture wars, and which ideas deserve not to die.We're hiring across the board at Turpentine and for Erik's personal team on other projects he's incubating. He's hiring a Chief of Staff, EA, Head of Special Projects, Investment Associate, and more. For a list of JDs, check out: eriktorenberg.com.--Sponsors: GIVEWELL | DAFFY | NETSUITE Have you ever wondered where your donation could have the most impact? GiveWell has now spent over 15 years researching charitable organizations and only directs funding to the highest impact opportunities they’ve found in global health and poverty alleviation. Make informed decisions about high-impact giving. If you’ve never donated through GiveWell before, you can have your donation matched up to $100 before the end of the year, or as long as matching funds last. To claim your match, go to givewell.org and pick “Podcast” and enter Econ 102 at checkout. Daffy is the most modern and accessible donor-advised fund, making it easier to put money aside for charity. You can make your tax-deductible contributions all at once or set aside a little each week or month. And you don’t just have to donate cash, you can easily contribute stocks, ETFs, or crypto. Plus, you never have to track receipts from your donations again. It’s free to get started and Econ 102 listeners get $25 towards the charity of their choice. Daffy is offering Econ 102 listeners a free $25 for the charity of their choice when they join Daffy https://www.daffy.org/econ102 NetSuite has 25 years of providing financial software for all your business needs. More than 36,000 businesses have already upgraded to NetSuite by Oracle, gaining visibility and control over their financials, inventory, HR, eCommerce, and more. If you’re looking for an ERP platform head to NetSuite http://netsuite.com/102 and download your own customized KPI checklist.--Econ 102 is a part of the Turpentine podcast network. To learn more: www.turpentine.co--TIMESTAMPS:(00:00) Episode preview(12:54) Why did Libertarians lose?(15:00) Free trade failure in the 2000s(19:00) Libertarians jumping on the Trump train(19:45) Evolution to state-capacity libertarian(22:00) Culture wars vs. getting the economics right(27:30) Effect of money on politics(29:00) Urban fragmentation: San Francisco and New York(30:30) Hot take: Gavin Newsom underrated(37:00) How the right soured on the free markets and became became statist(39:00) Can a 'reset' work(40:20) Which ideas deserve not to die?--SPONSOR THIS PODCAST:We're looking for sponsors to partner with on this show. If you or your business might be interested, send us a note at erik@turpentine.co. Find out more here: https://www.turpentine.co/sponsors--LINKS MENTIONED:Where Does Libertarianism Go From Here? https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/where-does-libertarianism-go-fromTyler Cowen, State-Capacity Libertarianism https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2020/01/what-libertarianism-has-become-and-will-become-state-capacity-libertarianism.html--TWITTER:@noahpinion (Noah)@eriktorenberg (Erik)--This show is produced by Turpentine: a network of podcasts, newsletters, and more, covering technology, business, and culture — all from the perspective of industry insiders and experts. We’re launching new shows every week, and we’re looking for industry-leading sponsors — if you think that might be you and your company, email us at erik@turpentine.co.

18 Heinä 202349min

Foreign Policy, Industrial Policy, and Reflections on Biden thus far

Foreign Policy, Industrial Policy, and Reflections on Biden thus far

In our first episode of Econ 102, Noah Smith and Erik Torenberg discuss the highs and lows of Biden's first term, Biden's policies in comparison to previous presidents and other leaders, as well as China -- its real estate sector, industrial and manufacturing industries, and its views on tech.We're hiring across the board at Turpentine and for Erik's personal team on other projects he's incubating. He's hiring a Chief of Staff, EA, Head of Special Projects, Investment Associate, and more. For a list of JDs, check out: eriktorenberg.com.--Sponsors: GIVEWELL | DAFFY | NETSUITEHave you ever wondered where your donation could have the most impact? GiveWell has now spent over 15 years researching charitable organizations and only directs funding to the highest impact opportunities they’ve found in global health and poverty alleviation. Make informed decisions about high-impact giving. If you’ve never donated through GiveWell before, you can have your donation matched up to $100 before the end of the year, or as long as matching funds last. To claim your match, go to givewell.org and pick “Podcast” and enter Econ 102 at checkout.Daffy is the most modern and accessible donor-advised fund, making it easier to put money aside for charity. You can make your tax-deductible contributions all at once or set aside a little each week or month. And you don’t just have to donate cash, you can easily contribute stocks, ETFs, or crypto. Plus, you never have to track receipts from your donations again. It’s free to get started and Econ 102 listeners get $25 towards the charity of their choice. Daffy is offering Econ 102 listeners a free $25 for the charity of their choice when they join Daffy https://www.daffy.org/econ102NetSuite has 25 years of providing financial software for all your business needs. More than 36,000 businesses have already upgraded to NetSuite by Oracle, gaining visibility and control over their financials, inventory, HR, eCommerce, and more. If you’re looking for an ERP platform head to NetSuite  http://netsuite.com/102 and download your own customized KPI checklist.--Econ 102 is a part of the Turpentine podcast network. To learn more: www.turpentine.co--TIMESTAMPS:(00:00) Episode Preview(01:24) Overview of Biden's first term(02:56) The most important thing Biden's done (12:19) What are the chances of Trump returning?(14:03) In the 1970s once again(14:47) Woke concerns among Republicans(15:38) Noah's ideal foreign policy(17:46) Japan's importance in foreign policy(19:29) Main foreign policy concerns in the next cycle(20:30) The ideal containment strategy(22:55) China(26:23) Getting to 1 billion Americans as a foreign policy measure(27:24) Real estate in China(31:33) Comparing and contrasting Chinese and American industrial policy(37:02) China's stomp on the IT industry to encourage manufacturing(39:09) The difference in Chinese and American views of manufacturing (43:18) Revitalizing American manufacturing (46:08) The services industry(48:03) A shortage of human truckers --SPONSOR THIS PODCAST:We're looking for sponsors to partner with on this show. If you or your business might be interested, send us a note at erik@turpentine.co. Find out more here: https://www.turpentine.co/sponsorsThis show is produced by Turpentine: a network of podcasts, newsletters, and more, covering technology, business, and culture — all from the perspective of industry insiders and experts. We’re launching new shows every week, and we’re looking for industry-leading sponsors — if you think that might be you and your company, email us at erik@turpentine.co.

11 Heinä 202349min

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