The Trivium China Podcast

The Trivium China Podcast

Trivium China is an analysis firm that specializes in monitoring Chinese government policy. From our offices in Beijing, Shanghai, and DC, we break down Beijing's latest moves on the economy, technology, energy, climate, and agriculture.


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Ep 50 - Breaking down the Central Economic Work Conference

Ep 50 - Breaking down the Central Economic Work Conference

At the end of each year, China's top economic policymakers get together for the Central Economic Work Conference (CEWC) to discuss their goals for the year ahead. This year's CEWC wrapped up on Decemb...

13 Joulu 202537min

Ep 49 - I say overcapacity, you say involution, let’s call the whole thing off

Ep 49 - I say overcapacity, you say involution, let’s call the whole thing off

In mid-2024, Beijing rebranded its overcapacity problems as “involution.” Does it matter? As the bard would say, a rose by any other name… And yet, over time it’s become clear that this was more than ...

6 Joulu 202542min

Ep 48 - How Xi Jinping thinks about the rule of law + explaining why capital investment is tanking

Ep 48 - How Xi Jinping thinks about the rule of law + explaining why capital investment is tanking

On this week’s Trivium China Podcast, your loyal Trivium team digs into China’s key domestic and regional developments from the past few days. First, Trivium Co-founders Andrew Polk and Trey McArver d...

21 Marras 202550min

Ep 47 - China Shock 2.0: the trade implications of China’s new economic growth model

Ep 47 - China Shock 2.0: the trade implications of China’s new economic growth model

With the US and China having agreed to a détente over trade, now is a good time to take a step back from the day-to-day back-and-forth of measures and countermeasure, and look at the longer term impli...

15 Marras 202550min

Ep 46 - What China really agreed to on rare earths + assessing US capability to end reliance on China

Ep 46 - What China really agreed to on rare earths + assessing US capability to end reliance on China

Confusion around what China has officially agreed to in terms of pausing its rare earths, and other critical mineral, export controls persists – even as we are a week out from Donald Trump and Xi Jinp...

8 Marras 20251h 5min

Ep 45 - China’s perspective on the trade ceasefire + 15th Five-Year Plan breakdown

Ep 45 - China’s perspective on the trade ceasefire + 15th Five-Year Plan breakdown

It was another monumental week on the China front. On Tuesday, the Party released its sprawling 15th Five Year Plan (FYP) Proposals – laying out the sheer scale of Xi Jinping’s policy ambitions over t...

31 Loka 20251h 11min

Ep 44 - Xi’s make or break moment + USCBC’s Sean Stein on US-China volatility

Ep 44 - Xi’s make or break moment + USCBC’s Sean Stein on US-China volatility

Alright folks, this one is a banger. In this week’s Trivium China podcast, host Andrew Polk is joined first by colleagues Dinny McMahon and Joe Peissel. The three discuss: The most recent China macro ...

24 Loka 20251h 13min

Ep 43 - Volatility and fragility: US and China seek path back to negotiating table

Ep 43 - Volatility and fragility: US and China seek path back to negotiating table

It’s been a frenetic and exhausting couple of weeks on the US-China front. After tensions heightened again last week – in the wake of China’s major expansion of export controls – the two sides continu...

18 Loka 202541min

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