Will Everyone Get Nukes Now?
ChinaTalk30 Apr 2025

Will Everyone Get Nukes Now?

What is Trump doing to extended deterrence? I got Polymarket to create a market on whether a US ally will acquire nuclear weapons in 2025. It’s currently trading at 8%. Are we buyers or sellers? To discuss, ChinaTalk interviewed Vipin Narang, professor at MIT, who served as Acting Assistant Secretary of Defense responsible for nuclear deterrence policy during the Biden administration; Pranay Vaddi, a senior fellow at the Center for Nuclear Security Policy at MIT who worked on arms control and non-proliferation on Biden’s National Security Council; and Junichi Fukuda, senior research fellow at Tokyo’s Sasakawa Peace Foundation. We get into… The historical development of the American nuclear umbrella, including the “software” and “hardware” components of deterrence, The probability that an American ally will proliferate by 2030, and which countries are the most likely candidates, Why France proliferated despite US objections, How the world might respond to nuclear ambitions from Poland, Japan, or Saudi Arabia, China’s nuclear modernization and deterrence strategies for a multi-polar world. Here's the RAND paper cited: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1GUMnuxWoapmEYCw3g3NMUHxzZ6hVwWPi/view?usp=sharing Outro music: Tom Lehrer - Who's Next? (YouTube Link) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Det här avsnittet är hämtat från ett öppet RSS-flöde och publiceras inte av Podme. Det kan innehålla reklam.

Avsnitt(560)

How AI Becomes a Political Crisis

How AI Becomes a Political Crisis

The political economy of AI — things are getting weird, it seems. We have models on the loose, open weights being dropped from the heavenly temple, and data center protests fanning out across the land...

24 Aug 1h 8min

Lessons from the American Civil War

Lessons from the American Civil War

Note: This episode was recorded in late 2024. Luckily, there haven't been any US Civil War updates since then, so the episode's content still holds up. Enjoy! During paternity leave, the new influx o...

21 Aug 1h 32min

North Korea's Messiah

North Korea's Messiah

Why is North Korea so weird? Is it Stalinism? Maoism? Japan-style emperor worship? Ancient Korean hermit kingdom energy? No, argues Jonathan Cheng, Beijing bureau chief for The Wall Street Journal and...

19 Aug 1h 59min

The Rise of China’s Electric Vehicle Industry

The Rise of China’s Electric Vehicle Industry

How did China grow its EV industry? Hint: it wasn’t really central planning from Beijing. It was a magical concoction of entrepreneurs and local officials using their guanxi to dance around giant SOEs...

17 Aug 1h 54min

China's Best Music in 2026 (So Far)

China's Best Music in 2026 (So Far)

Jake Newby is the author of the Concrete Avalanche Substack, which covers the best music coming out of China. If you enjoy this playlist, check out Jake’s sets from 2025, 2024, and 2023, as well as hi...

14 Aug 54min

$75k Contest Launch! ChinaTalk Hiring + Evals for the Situation Room

$75k Contest Launch! ChinaTalk Hiring + Evals for the Situation Room

Contest links: General $50k https://www.chinatalk.media/p/50k-chinatalk-submission-hiring-contest we're looking at submissions on a rolling basis! AI evals: Due Over the past few years, we’ve seen ...

10 Aug 48min

WarTalk: Out of Ammo for Real + Are CCAs Dumb?

WarTalk: Out of Ammo for Real + Are CCAs Dumb?

Six months into the war with Iran, the United States has fired 850 Tomahawks, emptied its LRASM and JASSM-ER inventories, expended essentially every ATACMS and PrSM in the arsenal, and burned through ...

7 Aug 1h 17min

The FCC's New Robot Rules

The FCC's New Robot Rules

The FCC has spent the past year quietly rewiring the American import market, first routers, then drones, next undersea cables, and as of last week, robots. Adam Chan is national security counsel and ...

6 Aug 51min

Populärt inom Politik & nyheter

aftonbladet-krim
p3-krim
svenska-fall
en-runda-till
aftonbladet-daily
rss-krimstad
politiken
flashback-forever
rss-vad-fan-hande
svd-ledarredaktionen
rss-sanning-konsekvens
motiv
spar
rss-krimreportrarna
rss-expressen-dok
rss-frandfors-horna
fordomspodden
rss-aftonbladet-krim
olyckan-inifran
rss-flodet