Bitcoin’s Financialized Bull Market: What’s Driving the Price in 2025

Bitcoin’s Financialized Bull Market: What’s Driving the Price in 2025

In this episode, Nik answers Demian’s questions about what’s driving Bitcoin’s price in 2025, as ETFs, options, and structured products reshape the bull market. With new pipes built for institutional capital to flow into Bitcoin, financialization is transforming how price behaves—suppressing volatility, changing breakout dynamics, and introducing both long and short positioning at scale. Nik breaks down what this means for on-chain signals, how MVRV still reveals conviction, and why Bitcoin may no longer follow the boom-and-bust cycles of the past.

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Nik Bhatia's Twitter: https://twitter.com/timevalueofbtc

Creative Director Matthew Ball's Twitter: https://twitter.com/matthewrball

Researcher Demian Schatt's Twitter: https://x.com/demianschatt

Chapters:

00:00:00 The Evolution of Bitcoin Financialization

00:05:30 The Emergence of Liquidity in Bitcoin Markets

00:10:42 The Passive Ownership of Bitcoin in the S&P 500

00:15:56 Understanding MVRV in Bitcoin Valuation

00:21:04 Understanding Bitcoin Market Dynamics and Resistance Zones

00:26:12 Analyzing Market Sentiment Through Candlestick Patterns

00:31:27 Unveiling Bitcoin's Origins and Future Potential

00:36:42 Understanding Bitcoin Price Narratives

00:41:54 Bitcoin's All-Time High and Momentum Trading Strategy

The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice.

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Global Macro Update: The Real Reason Bitcoin Just Ripped

Global Macro Update: The Real Reason Bitcoin Just Ripped

In this Global Macro Update, Nik covers the financial war he sees playing out across treasuries and currencies, and why bitcoin popped above $67,000 on the back of it. He walks through the trend lines...

19 Aug 23min

Bitcoin Just Went Vertical (Is The Bear Over?)

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In this episode, Nik covers bitcoin's 22% week and a run that took price to just shy of $80,000. He walks through the multi-year trend line connecting the FTX lows to the start of the ETF bull market,...

12 Aug 22min

Russia Is Now Legalizing Bitcoin for Trade with Joe Consorti

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In this episode, Demian welcomes back Joe Consorti for a conversation on the Clarity Act and what it means for bitcoin. Joe explains the bill's three buckets, how it would separate commodities from se...

11 Aug 34min

Self Custody Is Not Dead with Stacie Waleyko

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In this episode, Demian welcomes back Stacie Waleyko, a bitcoin developer with the Bitcoin Dev Project, on the Coldcard entropy vulnerability and the ongoing theft of funds. Stacie explains how hardwa...

7 Aug 23min

Why Jack Mallers Walked Away From Twenty One

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In this episode, Nik welcomes Jack Mallers, founder and CEO of Strike, for a conversation on his exit from Twenty One. Jack describes the guilt and humility of stepping away from a company whose visio...

5 Aug 39min

Tracing the Stolen Coldcard Bitcoin w/ Galaxy's Alex Thorn

Tracing the Stolen Coldcard Bitcoin w/ Galaxy's Alex Thorn

In this episode, Nik welcomes back Alex Thorn of Galaxy Research on the Coldcard key generation vulnerability and the theft that followed. Alex explains how a March 17, 2021 firmware change left the d...

3 Aug 43min

Coldcard Wallet Hack: What Happened and What to Do Now

Coldcard Wallet Hack: What Happened and What to Do Now

In this episode, Nik and TBL's Demian Schatt cover a breaking security situation: a seed-generation vulnerability in Coldcard hardware wallets that has exposed some bitcoiners to theft, with reports o...

31 Juli 25min

Kevin Warsh Just Blew Up How the Fed Works

Kevin Warsh Just Blew Up How the Fed Works

In this Global Macro Update, Nik covers today's FOMC decision and Kevin Warsh's press conference, where the new Fed chair reaffirmed the 2% inflation target as a firm goal and made clear he is steerin...

29 Juli 33min

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