SI63: Are stock pickers overrated?
Top Traders Unplugged24 Marras 2019

SI63: Are stock pickers overrated?

Is the concept of being a great stock picker overrated? Are Trend Following returns mean-reverting over time? Will Sharpe Ratios of Trend Following strategies permanently stay lower from now on? Is it becoming harder to be a successful discretionary macro trader? Should you use the same stop-loss for every position? We also give our thoughts on the process of adding a new market to your Trading Universe, ATR and how to apply it to your strategies, when a visit from the SEC can be taken as a compliment, why pain and suffering can sometimes be a necessary component of profitable Trend Following, Louis Bacon deciding to close down his funds, and much more.

-----

50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

-----


Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.

Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

Episode TimeStamps:

00:00 – Intro

00:57 – Macro recap from Niels

01:55 – Weekly review of performance

08:22 – Top tweets

46:30 – Questions 1/2: Derek; How do you adapt Trend Following models for a constrained universe of markets? How do you educate fundamental Traders about quant investing?

53:31 – Questions 3/4/5: Jonathan; Does having a 5000 sample size backtest apply to each market in each system? Do you use out-of-sample testing? Do you optimize using multiple time-periods?

01:00:37 – Questions 6/7: Indrius; How do you use ATR? Do you take less risk per market as you trade more positions?

01:04:22 – Question 8/9: Brian; How many other Trend Following managers should you invest in? How would you seek out other managers to invest in?

01:12:13 – Question 10: Maurici; Do you use the same stop-loss for every position?

01:19:15 – Question 11: Michael; Why incur personnel costs if all you need is a computer to run your systems?

01:23:37 – Benchmark performance update

01:24:44 – Final thoughts; Is it becoming harder to be a discretionary macro trader?

Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

----

PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

3. Other Resources that can help you

And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

Privacy Policy

Disclaimer

Tämä jakso on lisätty Podme-palveluun avoimen RSS-syötteen kautta eikä se ole Podmen omaa tuotantoa. Siksi jakso saattaa sisältää mainontaa.

Jaksot(973)

SI421: Taking CTAs Mainstream ft. Andrew Beer

SI421: Taking CTAs Mainstream ft. Andrew Beer

How reliable is 60/40 when stocks and bonds fall together? Andrew Beer joins Niels Kaastrup-Larsen to question the return forecasts and diversification assumptions behind traditional asset allocation....

10 Loka 1h 18min

IL54: Why Smart Investors Keep Making Crazy Decisions ft. Alex Edmans

IL54: Why Smart Investors Keep Making Crazy Decisions ft. Alex Edmans

In today’s episode we talk with London Business School professor Alex Edmans. He has spoken at Davos, testified in the UK House of Commons and reached millions through his TED Talks. He joins the show...

7 Loka 1h

SI420: The Market Might Be More Fragile Than It Looks ft. Cem Karsan

SI420: The Market Might Be More Fragile Than It Looks ft. Cem Karsan

Alan Dunne is joined by Cem Karsan to examine the forces pushing bond yields higher and why he believes markets are becoming increasingly fragile. Cem argues that refinancing pressures, persistent inf...

2 Loka 1h 4min

TTU153: Why Investors Keep Getting Trend Following Wrong ft. Patrick Welton

TTU153: Why Investors Keep Getting Trend Following Wrong ft. Patrick Welton

Niels Kaastrup-Larsen and Alan Dunne are joined by Welton Investment Corporation founder Patrick Welton to explore what four decades in markets have taught him about trading, risk and managing other p...

30 Syys 1h 6min

SI419: What Happens When AI Starts Building the Portfolio ft. Nick Baltas

SI419: What Happens When AI Starts Building the Portfolio ft. Nick Baltas

Alan Dunne is joined by Nick Baltas to discuss a strong period for trend following and what the latest research says about adapting systematic strategies to changing markets. They examine whether vola...

26 Syys 1h 5min

OI24: Why Power Trading Is 10 Times Crazier Than Crypto ft. Cory Paddock

OI24: Why Power Trading Is 10 Times Crazier Than Crypto ft. Cory Paddock

Moritz Seibert is joined by GBE Energy co-founder Cory Paddock for a look inside the unusual world of proprietary power trading. Cory explains how electricity markets combine weather, physics and econ...

23 Syys 59min

SI418: Why Markets Are More Alive Than We Think ft. Richard Brennan

SI418: Why Markets Are More Alive Than We Think ft. Richard Brennan

Niels Kaastrup-Larsen and Richard Brennan explore what the science of complex adaptive systems can teach us about markets and trend following. Drawing on research from the Santa Fe Institute, they exa...

19 Syys 1h 15min

IL53: How Bonds Quietly Built the Modern World ft. Robin Wigglesworth

IL53: How Bonds Quietly Built the Modern World ft. Robin Wigglesworth

Today we talk with the editor of the Financial Times’ Alphaville blog, Robin Wigglesworth. Robin is the author of A Fabulous Debt - the Epic Story of How Bonds Built the Modern World. He tells the sto...

16 Syys 1h 3min

Suosittua kategoriassa Liike-elämä ja talous

sijotuskasti
vallattomat
mimmit-sijoittaa
psykopodiaa-podcast
rss-rahapodi
rss-oivalluksia-rahasta-elamasta
rss-rahamania
ostan-asuntoja-podcast
oppimisen-psykologia
rss-startup-ministerio
rss-hereilla
sijoituspodi
rss-karon-grilli
rss-paasipodi
rss-elama-jota-rakastat
rss-porssipodi
rss-kaupan-tila
rss-sopivasti-hyvan-arjen-reseptit
sijoitusovi-podcast
asuntoasiaa-paivakirjat