Is Iran Reaching a Tipping Point?

Is Iran Reaching a Tipping Point?

Protests in Iran have now engulfed its major cities and all 31 provinces, creating a mass movement incorporating all elements of Iranian society, despite a comprehensive internet blackout. The regime, blaming the United States and Israel for the sweeping movement, is casting the protests as a continuation of its twelve-day war with Israel and is cracking down hard, with the death toll rising. The Institute for the Study of War has reported that more Iranian security forces have been killed than in any previous periods of unrest. Now, President Donald Trump is vowing U.S. intervention in support of the protestors.

How are these demonstrations different than others in the past? What are the Iranian regime’s options for suppressing them? Are we nearing the point of regime fracture or the end of Ayatollah Khomeini’s reign altogether? And how should the United States respond?

Join Aaron David Miller as he engages two veteran Iran analysts, the Carnegie Endowment’s Karim Sadjadpour and the New Yorker’s Robin Wright in conversation to discuss the unfolding crisis in Iran and America’s reaction, on the next Carnegie Connects.

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Episoder(118)

Oil and the Iran War: How Bad Can It Get?

Oil and the Iran War: How Bad Can It Get?

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Twenty-Five Years After 9/11: Lessons Learned and Unlearned

Twenty-Five Years After 9/11: Lessons Learned and Unlearned

September 11, 2001, was the second deadliest day on American soil in the country’s history, exceeded only by a single day during the 1862 Battle of Antietam. Events that day produced a rare moment of ...

15 Sep 1h 7min

Israel and the U.S. in a Changing Landscape: Is the Special Relationship Failing?

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The Russia-Ukraine War: Not Forever, But No End in Sight

The Russia-Ukraine War: Not Forever, But No End in Sight

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Is Israel Losing America?

Is Israel Losing America?

Israel's image and credibility in the United States have fallen to an unprecedented low. A recent Pew poll revealed that 60 percent of American adults have an unfavorable view of Israel, especially am...

15 Jul 55min

U.S.-Iran Negotiations: The Fraught Road Ahead

U.S.-Iran Negotiations: The Fraught Road Ahead

In their 14-point memorandum of understanding (MOU), the United States and Iran have agreed to “negotiating and achieving the final deal in maximum 60 days extendable with mutual consent." However, ch...

7 Jul 1h

Democracy, the Military, and America’s Future: A Conversation with Admiral McRaven

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“The America that they believed in was under attack, not from without, but from within,” wrote Admiral William McRaven for the New York Times in 2019, reflecting on what he sensed from his military co...

26 Jun 48min

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More than 100 days into the U.S.-Israel war with Iran, both sides remain trapped between the ever-present danger of serious escalation and an elusive negotiated, pathway out of the conflict. As negoti...

23 Jun 51min

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