The AI Jobs Disruption - Erik Brynjolfsson with Nicholas Thompson

The AI Jobs Disruption - Erik Brynjolfsson with Nicholas Thompson

Of all the potential risks and promises of AI, perhaps none are as immediately dire as this: How will it impact jobs? Will employers still need workers? What will it mean if the answer is “no?” Depending on who you’re talking to, the prospect of a future with fewer jobs is either liberating or terrifying. But for a more measured reaction, it helps to look at the data. Stanford economist Erik Bynjolfsson has done just that, drilling down into AI’s effects on employment, upskilling, output, and more. In a conversation with The Atlantic’s CEO Nichlas Thompson, Brynjolfsson goes through his studies of call centers and other AI-exposed fields, and the surprising findings that could bring some much-needed reality to our fears. (00:00) Introduction to Erik Brynjolfsson and his work on AI economics (02:51) How much is free AI actually worth? (05:25) Why isn’t powerful AI showing up in GDP? (06:48) Introducing GDP-B: A new metric to capture value from free digital goods (07:23) Why initial AI adoption often lowers output (09:05) Evidence of the J-curve turning: Call centers, software, and aggregate stats (14:48) Will AI create more jobs or destroy them? Understanding elastic vs. inelastic demand (19:36) Advice for students and workers: Focus on creating new value, not just efficiency (21:34) Why AI helps different skill levels differently in call centers vs. coding (25:47) The "Turing Trap": Why mimicking humans leads to substitution rather than augmentation (30:50) Four policy recommendations: Better metrics, dynamic labor markets, and human-AI complementarity (37:52) "Canaries in the Coal Mine": Data showing early job displacement in AI-exposed fields (47:08) How higher labor costs drive automation adoption (52:53) Fair compensation for creators: Designing incentives for the AI-content ecosystem (59:03) The urgent need to study the transition, not just the technology Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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Episoder(41)

The Case Against the AI Bubble - Azeem Azhar with Nicholas Thompson

The Case Against the AI Bubble - Azeem Azhar with Nicholas Thompson

Among the many eye-popping numbers of the AI industry—from trillions in investments to billions in spending—one stands out: $0 in profit among leading AI companies. According to Bloomberg, “never befo...

23 Sep 1h 5min

The Future of Economic Power -  Circle’s Jeremy Allaire with Nicholas Thompson

The Future of Economic Power - Circle’s Jeremy Allaire with Nicholas Thompson

Technological waves often arrive with a promise. The internet was going to democratize information. Blockchain was going to decentralize power. Now, AI's boosters say it will bring unprecedented prosp...

16 Sep 1h 9min

The Race to Superintelligence - Richard Socher with Nicholas Thompson

The Race to Superintelligence - Richard Socher with Nicholas Thompson

As AI’s capabilities improve, reports of “rogue” agents and misaligned systems are becoming more frequent. In response, some activists, academics, and politicians have called for a pause in developmen...

9 Sep 1h 8min

How to Get Hired in the AI Era - Clara Shih with Nicholas Thompson

How to Get Hired in the AI Era - Clara Shih with Nicholas Thompson

For years, tech CEOs have promised that AI will take on the menial, repetitive tasks that have long been a part of office life. Typically, those tasks are assigned to younger, less experienced workers...

2 Sep 50min

Kara Swisher on What Silicon Valley Is Getting Right—and Wrong—in AI

Kara Swisher on What Silicon Valley Is Getting Right—and Wrong—in AI

Kara Swisher has done a bit of everything. She’s covered the rise of Silicon Valley’s tech giants, founded and sold her own startup publication, and dabbled in Hollywood, with appearances in films suc...

26 Aug 49min

How AI Could Upend Global Politics  - Ian Bremmer with Nicholas Thompson

How AI Could Upend Global Politics - Ian Bremmer with Nicholas Thompson

AI may have leveled the playing field in coding and app development, but it’s also put potentially dangerous tools in reach of nefarious actors. Now, empowered by AI, state-backed intelligence agencie...

19 Aug 1h 4min

Writing in the Age of AI - Gemini Notebook’s Steven Johnson with Nicholas Thompson

Writing in the Age of AI - Gemini Notebook’s Steven Johnson with Nicholas Thompson

Steven Johnson spent decades figuring out the best ways to turn his research into words on the page. Now, he’s adapting those methods for Gemini Notebook, Google’s AI-powered interactive bibliography....

12 Aug 1h 2min

Meta's Plan to Win in AI - Andrew Bosworth with Nicholas Thompson

Meta's Plan to Win in AI - Andrew Bosworth with Nicholas Thompson

However you feel about Meta, Andrew Bosworth has likely played a part in it. The long-serving right hand to Mark Zuckerberg and current Chief Technology Officer, “Boz” has helped shape almost every st...

8 Jul 50min

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