August 27: Bitcoin Is Still Fighting $80K, but the Fed Could Change the Story

August 27: Bitcoin Is Still Fighting $80K, but the Fed Could Change the Story

Bitcoin finally broke $80K, but it could not hold it. That makes today's price action a rejection, not a confirmed breakout. The good news is that Bitcoin has real demand underneath it: U.S. spot ETFs took in another $232 million Wednesday, extending their positive streak to eight trading sessions and roughly $2.8 billion. The bad news is hotter inflation has markets reconsidering Fed tightening just as Bitcoin is trying to turn $80K into support.


The most interesting story now is Kevin Warsh. His Fed philosophy isn't simply lower rates and more money. Warsh wants to shrink the Fed balance sheet while potentially creating room for lower interest rates, meaning Bitcoin could get cheaper money without getting another giant round of QE. That makes tomorrow's Jackson Hole speech important because crypto traders need to start watching the Fed balance sheet, Treasury liquidity, yields and the dollar together, not just whether Warsh cuts rates.


For price, $80K remains the wall, but the bigger breakout zone is increasingly looking like $81K-$86K, with roughly $83K an important confirmation level. If ETF inflows continue and Warsh does not turn aggressively hawkish, Bitcoin gets another shot. If inflation pushes the Fed toward tighter policy and ETF demand fades, Bitcoin could spend more time consolidating in the upper $70Ks.


Happy HODLing.


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Episoder(859)

Sept 25: Bitcoin Holds $84

Sept 25: Bitcoin Holds $84

Bitcoin is holding around $84,000 despite a difficult macro backdrop, with the 10-year Treasury yield around 5.2%, oil above $100 and markets pricing additional Fed tightening. Spot Bitcoin ETFs never...

25 Sep 9min

Sept 24: Bitcoin Falls Back Toward $82K

Sept 24: Bitcoin Falls Back Toward $82K

Bitcoin has fallen back to roughly $83,500 after failing to hold $85,000, putting the $80,000 to $82,000 support area back in focus. The macro backdrop has become less favorable as Treasury yields ris...

24 Sep 17min

Sept 23: The Stablecoin Endgame?

Sept 23: The Stablecoin Endgame?

Bitcoin is holding in the mid-$85,000 range as U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF demand remains strong, with roughly $714 million of additional inflows following Monday's nearly $1 billion. But today's main discu...

23 Sep 20min

Sept 22: Bitcoin Holds Above $85K as ETF Inflows Explode and Corporate Buyers Come Back

Sept 22: Bitcoin Holds Above $85K as ETF Inflows Explode and Corporate Buyers Come Back

Bitcoin held above $85,000 after briefly trading above $87,000, while U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded approximately $999 million in net inflows on Monday. Matt argues that this is an important transit...

22 Sep 22min

Sept 21: Craig Cobb's $83K Level Breaks as Shorts Get Crushed. Bitcoin Rips Above $85K!

Sept 21: Craig Cobb's $83K Level Breaks as Shorts Get Crushed. Bitcoin Rips Above $85K!

Bitcoin surged above $85,000 after finally clearing the roughly $83,000 level that both Matt and Craig Cobb have been watching. Craig explains that the breakout does not automatically create a monthly...

21 Sep 21min

Sept 18: Bitcoin Pushes Back Toward $78K as Wall Street Moves Deeper Onchain

Sept 18: Bitcoin Pushes Back Toward $78K as Wall Street Moves Deeper Onchain

Bitcoin moved back toward $78,000 as spot ETF flows returned to positive territory, although Matt argues the market remains sideways rather than in a confirmed recovery. The bigger structural story is...

18 Sep 24min

Sept 17: Bitcoin Holds Near $77K After the Fed Hike as Institutional Crypto Keeps Expanding

Sept 17: Bitcoin Holds Near $77K After the Fed Hike as Institutional Crypto Keeps Expanding

Bitcoin remained around $77,000 after the Federal Reserve delivered its widely expected 25-basis-point rate hike, with Matt arguing that the decision itself had already been priced into markets. The m...

17 Sep 12min

Sept 16: The CLARITY Act Failed. Trump Gave Democrats the Political Opening They Needed.

Sept 16: The CLARITY Act Failed. Trump Gave Democrats the Political Opening They Needed.

The Senate failed to advance the CLARITY Act in a 49-50 cloture vote, well short of the 60 votes required. Democrats centered their opposition on ethics concerns surrounding President Trump's crypto b...

16 Sep 24min

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