August 28: Bitcoin Still Can’t Hold $80K as AI Infrastructure Creates a New Investment Trade

August 28: Bitcoin Still Can’t Hold $80K as AI Infrastructure Creates a New Investment Trade

Bitcoin got as high as roughly $81,300 overnight and still couldn't maintain $80K. The battle is getting clearer. ETF demand remains strong, with another $242 million entering U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs Thursday and roughly $3 billion arriving during nine consecutive positive sessions, but traders keep taking profits above $80K. The real breakout probably requires Bitcoin to turn $80K into support and then clear roughly $81K-$83K.


The biggest macro catalyst today is Kevin Warsh at Jackson Hole. Treasury yields are still elevated, inflation remains uncomfortable, and markets are even considering whether the Fed may have to raise rates again. A hawkish Warsh could strengthen the dollar and yields and make Bitcoin's $80K problem worse. A more balanced Warsh could give ETF buyers another opportunity to push through.


And then there's SanDisk, which may be one of the craziest stock stories of the AI boom. The stock is up more than 500% this year, but there is a real business transformation behind it: annual revenue rose 175%, data-center revenue surged 437%, Q4 gross margins reached nearly 85%, NAND prices exploded, and AI companies are consuming memory faster than manufacturers can supply it. The risk is that memory is still cyclical. SanDisk's run continues as long as AI demand and memory shortages remain stronger than new supply.


Happy HODLing.

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Episoder(859)

Sept 25: Bitcoin Holds $84

Sept 25: Bitcoin Holds $84

Bitcoin is holding around $84,000 despite a difficult macro backdrop, with the 10-year Treasury yield around 5.2%, oil above $100 and markets pricing additional Fed tightening. Spot Bitcoin ETFs never...

25 Sep 9min

Sept 24: Bitcoin Falls Back Toward $82K

Sept 24: Bitcoin Falls Back Toward $82K

Bitcoin has fallen back to roughly $83,500 after failing to hold $85,000, putting the $80,000 to $82,000 support area back in focus. The macro backdrop has become less favorable as Treasury yields ris...

24 Sep 17min

Sept 23: The Stablecoin Endgame?

Sept 23: The Stablecoin Endgame?

Bitcoin is holding in the mid-$85,000 range as U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF demand remains strong, with roughly $714 million of additional inflows following Monday's nearly $1 billion. But today's main discu...

23 Sep 20min

Sept 22: Bitcoin Holds Above $85K as ETF Inflows Explode and Corporate Buyers Come Back

Sept 22: Bitcoin Holds Above $85K as ETF Inflows Explode and Corporate Buyers Come Back

Bitcoin held above $85,000 after briefly trading above $87,000, while U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded approximately $999 million in net inflows on Monday. Matt argues that this is an important transit...

22 Sep 22min

Sept 21: Craig Cobb's $83K Level Breaks as Shorts Get Crushed. Bitcoin Rips Above $85K!

Sept 21: Craig Cobb's $83K Level Breaks as Shorts Get Crushed. Bitcoin Rips Above $85K!

Bitcoin surged above $85,000 after finally clearing the roughly $83,000 level that both Matt and Craig Cobb have been watching. Craig explains that the breakout does not automatically create a monthly...

21 Sep 21min

Sept 18: Bitcoin Pushes Back Toward $78K as Wall Street Moves Deeper Onchain

Sept 18: Bitcoin Pushes Back Toward $78K as Wall Street Moves Deeper Onchain

Bitcoin moved back toward $78,000 as spot ETF flows returned to positive territory, although Matt argues the market remains sideways rather than in a confirmed recovery. The bigger structural story is...

18 Sep 24min

Sept 17: Bitcoin Holds Near $77K After the Fed Hike as Institutional Crypto Keeps Expanding

Sept 17: Bitcoin Holds Near $77K After the Fed Hike as Institutional Crypto Keeps Expanding

Bitcoin remained around $77,000 after the Federal Reserve delivered its widely expected 25-basis-point rate hike, with Matt arguing that the decision itself had already been priced into markets. The m...

17 Sep 12min

Sept 16: The CLARITY Act Failed. Trump Gave Democrats the Political Opening They Needed.

Sept 16: The CLARITY Act Failed. Trump Gave Democrats the Political Opening They Needed.

The Senate failed to advance the CLARITY Act in a 49-50 cloture vote, well short of the 60 votes required. Democrats centered their opposition on ethics concerns surrounding President Trump's crypto b...

16 Sep 24min

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