Craig's Biggest Trade This Week Is Staying in Cash

Craig's Biggest Trade This Week Is Staying in Cash

Craig starts the week largely in cash after last week's CPI and PPI volatility produced a massive Bitcoin whipsaw capable of stopping out traders on both sides of the market. Bitcoin remains consolidated roughly between $76,000 and $82,000, while the total market cap is similarly directionless. With no clean trend or compelling structure, Craig sees no reason to force a trade simply for the sake of having a position.


The bigger concern is event risk, with the CLARITY Act procedural vote followed closely by the FOMC rate decision and accompanying Fed language. Craig explains why he avoids holding short-term trades through major binary events and distinguishes probability-based trading from gambling on an unpredictable announcement. Even if a strong setup appears before those events, he would not want to carry it into the volatility. For now, his most important trade is patience.


Happy HODLing

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Episoder(859)

Sept 25: Bitcoin Holds $84

Sept 25: Bitcoin Holds $84

Bitcoin is holding around $84,000 despite a difficult macro backdrop, with the 10-year Treasury yield around 5.2%, oil above $100 and markets pricing additional Fed tightening. Spot Bitcoin ETFs never...

25 Sep 9min

Sept 24: Bitcoin Falls Back Toward $82K

Sept 24: Bitcoin Falls Back Toward $82K

Bitcoin has fallen back to roughly $83,500 after failing to hold $85,000, putting the $80,000 to $82,000 support area back in focus. The macro backdrop has become less favorable as Treasury yields ris...

24 Sep 17min

Sept 23: The Stablecoin Endgame?

Sept 23: The Stablecoin Endgame?

Bitcoin is holding in the mid-$85,000 range as U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF demand remains strong, with roughly $714 million of additional inflows following Monday's nearly $1 billion. But today's main discu...

23 Sep 20min

Sept 22: Bitcoin Holds Above $85K as ETF Inflows Explode and Corporate Buyers Come Back

Sept 22: Bitcoin Holds Above $85K as ETF Inflows Explode and Corporate Buyers Come Back

Bitcoin held above $85,000 after briefly trading above $87,000, while U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded approximately $999 million in net inflows on Monday. Matt argues that this is an important transit...

22 Sep 22min

Sept 21: Craig Cobb's $83K Level Breaks as Shorts Get Crushed. Bitcoin Rips Above $85K!

Sept 21: Craig Cobb's $83K Level Breaks as Shorts Get Crushed. Bitcoin Rips Above $85K!

Bitcoin surged above $85,000 after finally clearing the roughly $83,000 level that both Matt and Craig Cobb have been watching. Craig explains that the breakout does not automatically create a monthly...

21 Sep 21min

Sept 18: Bitcoin Pushes Back Toward $78K as Wall Street Moves Deeper Onchain

Sept 18: Bitcoin Pushes Back Toward $78K as Wall Street Moves Deeper Onchain

Bitcoin moved back toward $78,000 as spot ETF flows returned to positive territory, although Matt argues the market remains sideways rather than in a confirmed recovery. The bigger structural story is...

18 Sep 24min

Sept 17: Bitcoin Holds Near $77K After the Fed Hike as Institutional Crypto Keeps Expanding

Sept 17: Bitcoin Holds Near $77K After the Fed Hike as Institutional Crypto Keeps Expanding

Bitcoin remained around $77,000 after the Federal Reserve delivered its widely expected 25-basis-point rate hike, with Matt arguing that the decision itself had already been priced into markets. The m...

17 Sep 12min

Sept 16: The CLARITY Act Failed. Trump Gave Democrats the Political Opening They Needed.

Sept 16: The CLARITY Act Failed. Trump Gave Democrats the Political Opening They Needed.

The Senate failed to advance the CLARITY Act in a 49-50 cloture vote, well short of the 60 votes required. Democrats centered their opposition on ethics concerns surrounding President Trump's crypto b...

16 Sep 24min

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