SI164: Compounding - The 8th Wonder of the World ft. Richard Brennan

SI164: Compounding - The 8th Wonder of the World ft. Richard Brennan

This week, Richard Brennan joins us on the show to discuss how people can benefit from the effects of compounding while others end up a paying a price for it. We also cover some thoughts on ‘path dependency,' why those invested in stocks should diversify using Trend Following strategies, why stable returns can only be correctly judged over long time periods, how to analyse fund performance without being influenced by the effects of compounding, some thoughts on what is known as ‘geometric returns’, and we explain the term ‘ergodicity’.

-----

50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

In this episode, we discuss:

  • How to stay on the right side of the effects of compounding
  • How many strategies can be limited by the make-up of their previous versions
  • The profitable & negative correlation of Trend Following to equities when stocks are falling
  • The need to zoom-out when judging performance
  • The terms 'ergodicity' and 'path dependency'

-----


Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.

Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

Follow Rich on Twitter.

Episode TimeStamps:

00:00 – Intro

01:37 – A Thank you to Shane, our website developer, for his great work in creating the new Top Traders Unplugged website. We hope you all enjoy the new user interface

02:09 – A huge thank you to listeners of the show, such as Dave W, for leaving your 5-star reviews on iTunes, and feel free to share this link with 3 of your like-minded friends:

https://top-traders-unplugged.captivate.fm/listen

03:02 – Macro recap from Niels

04:34 – Weekly review of performance

12:04 – Making money to make money, and some insights on the compounding returns

40:50 – How to judge different strategies accurately

44:04 – Explaining the term ‘ergodicity’

52:17 – The diversifying features of Trend Following and their negative correlation to stocks during market downturns

01:01:24 – Benchmark performance update

Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

----

PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

3. Other Resources that can help you

And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

Privacy Policy

Disclaimer

Denne episoden er hentet fra en åpen RSS-feed og er ikke publisert av Podme. Den kan derfor inneholde annonser.

Episoder(973)

SI421: Taking CTAs Mainstream ft. Andrew Beer

SI421: Taking CTAs Mainstream ft. Andrew Beer

How reliable is 60/40 when stocks and bonds fall together? Andrew Beer joins Niels Kaastrup-Larsen to question the return forecasts and diversification assumptions behind traditional asset allocation....

10 Okt 1h 18min

IL54: Why Smart Investors Keep Making Crazy Decisions ft. Alex Edmans

IL54: Why Smart Investors Keep Making Crazy Decisions ft. Alex Edmans

In today’s episode we talk with London Business School professor Alex Edmans. He has spoken at Davos, testified in the UK House of Commons and reached millions through his TED Talks. He joins the show...

7 Okt 1h

SI420: The Market Might Be More Fragile Than It Looks ft. Cem Karsan

SI420: The Market Might Be More Fragile Than It Looks ft. Cem Karsan

Alan Dunne is joined by Cem Karsan to examine the forces pushing bond yields higher and why he believes markets are becoming increasingly fragile. Cem argues that refinancing pressures, persistent inf...

2 Okt 1h 4min

TTU153: Why Investors Keep Getting Trend Following Wrong ft. Patrick Welton

TTU153: Why Investors Keep Getting Trend Following Wrong ft. Patrick Welton

Niels Kaastrup-Larsen and Alan Dunne are joined by Welton Investment Corporation founder Patrick Welton to explore what four decades in markets have taught him about trading, risk and managing other p...

30 Sep 1h 6min

SI419: What Happens When AI Starts Building the Portfolio ft. Nick Baltas

SI419: What Happens When AI Starts Building the Portfolio ft. Nick Baltas

Alan Dunne is joined by Nick Baltas to discuss a strong period for trend following and what the latest research says about adapting systematic strategies to changing markets. They examine whether vola...

26 Sep 1h 5min

OI24: Why Power Trading Is 10 Times Crazier Than Crypto ft. Cory Paddock

OI24: Why Power Trading Is 10 Times Crazier Than Crypto ft. Cory Paddock

Moritz Seibert is joined by GBE Energy co-founder Cory Paddock for a look inside the unusual world of proprietary power trading. Cory explains how electricity markets combine weather, physics and econ...

23 Sep 59min

SI418: Why Markets Are More Alive Than We Think ft. Richard Brennan

SI418: Why Markets Are More Alive Than We Think ft. Richard Brennan

Niels Kaastrup-Larsen and Richard Brennan explore what the science of complex adaptive systems can teach us about markets and trend following. Drawing on research from the Santa Fe Institute, they exa...

19 Sep 1h 15min

IL53: How Bonds Quietly Built the Modern World ft. Robin Wigglesworth

IL53: How Bonds Quietly Built the Modern World ft. Robin Wigglesworth

Today we talk with the editor of the Financial Times’ Alphaville blog, Robin Wigglesworth. Robin is the author of A Fabulous Debt - the Epic Story of How Bonds Built the Modern World. He tells the sto...

16 Sep 1h 3min

Populært innen Business og økonomi

stopp-verden
dine-penger-pengeradet
rss-penger-polser-og-politikk
e24-podden
rss-borsmorgen-okonominyhetene
rss-skravla-gar
rss-pa-konto
livet-pa-veien-med-jan-erik-larssen
tid-er-penger-en-podcast-med-peter-warren
rss-orjasater
pengepodden-2
finansredaksjonen
lederpodden
utbytte
morgenkaffen-med-finansavisen
stormkast-med-valebrokk-stordalen
liberal-halvtime
rss-markedspuls-2
okonomiamatorene
rss-fa-makro