Trump Blames Ukraine for $6 Diesel—HERE’S WHAT HE LEFT OUT

I assess Trump’s claim that Ukrainian strikes on Russian diesel refineries are driving diesel prices higher. Those strikes can constrain refinery capacity, but I examine why they are not the largest factor in the available evidence. Russia has already restricted refined-fuel exports amid domestic shortages, while a KSE Institute estimate shared with the Financial Times puts the March-to-August Persian Gulf export decline during the US-Israeli war with Iran at 152 million barrels, versus a 68 million-barrel decline in Russian exports. The diesel-price chart discussed here also shows the major jump following the Iran conflict, not Ukraine’s refinery campaign.

I also explain Zelensky’s proposed reciprocal energy ceasefire: Ukraine would stop hitting Russian oil infrastructure if Russia stopped attacking Ukraine’s power grid. If Kyiv is pressured to abandon refinery strikes without a verifiable Russian commitment before winter, it risks losing a critical bargaining tool while Putin retains the ability to coerce Ukraine through energy attacks.

00:00 Trump’s claim about Ukraine and diesel prices

01:54 Russian refinery strikes and lost capacity

03:12 Does Russia still export diesel?

04:40 Iran and the larger Persian Gulf supply shock

06:42 Russia’s fuel-export ban and domestic shortages

09:45 Diesel-price chart: refinery strikes versus Iran

11:28 Russia’s fuel needs and Ukraine’s winter vulnerability

14:03 Evidence standards and Project Constantine

#UkraineRussiaWar #RussianOilRefineries #DieselPrices #EnergySecurity #Zelensky #Putin

Facts over noise. Context over headlines. Truth over talking points. Principle over partisanship.

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