Better Tools, Better Judgment?
Send us Fan Mail Better tools. More information. But are we making better decisions? An alert tells you a vehicle may be stolen. What do you actually know, and what have you already started assuming? ...
16 Sep 1h 12min
Knowing When To Stop: Avoiding the Escalation Trap
Send us Fan Mail The fastest way to wreck a hard-won calm is to say one more thing. In this episode, dig into the escalation trap that shows up in boardrooms, squad cars, kitchens, and group texts: th...
27 Jul 1h 11min
When Technology Outpaces Human Performance with Alan Kearney
Send us Fan Mail Night vision keeps getting smarter, but our brains do not update on the same schedule. We’re joined by defense expert Alan Kearney, a former Irish Defence Forces officer who now works...
21 Apr 1h 33min
Probability & Language; The Cost of Being Certain
Send us Fan Mail In this episode, we’re talking about probabilistic thinking and why language matters more than most people realize. The central idea is simple: most bad decisions don’t come from a la...
4 Mar 1h 3min
Detecting A Cunning Opponent
Send us Fan Mail Your gut has tried to warn you before. That flicker when someone lingers by a bathroom door, shadows you to the elevator, or blocks your path with a smile and a prop—it’s not paranoia...
4 Jan 1h 7min
"Darwin's People" by Brian Moon
Send us Fan Mail When decisions can’t wait for perfect data, you need methods that actually work in the real world. We sit down with Brian Moon to pull naturalistic decision making out of journals and...
18 Nov 20251h 12min
Your Internal Baseline
Send us Fan Mail In today’s episode, we’re flipping the lens inward. You’ve heard us talk about reading the world around you — the external baseline — but what about reading yourself? What It Is (Str...
10 Nov 20251h 9min
Baseline + Anomaly = Decision
Send us Fan Mail In this powerful and highly practical episode, we unpack one of the most important (and misunderstood) aspects of human behavior analysis: the concept of baseline plus anomaly equal...
22 Okt 20251h 3min
