The Fed Will Break Inflation's Back, No Matter What | Teddy Vallee

The Fed Will Break Inflation's Back, No Matter What | Teddy Vallee

On today’s episode of “The Macro Trading Floor,” Andreas and Alfonso welcome Teddy Vallee, Founder & Chief Investment Officer at Pervalle Global. After positioning to be short everything in the first half of 2022, Teddy now sees an environment where inflation will begin to roll over. With typical growth indicators slowing down such as commodities, Teddy sees an attractive risk/reward in the bond market. Teddy then shares his actionable trade idea, but to hear that, you'll have to tune in! -- DAS Digital Asset Summit is crypto's most institutional conference. DAS is the only conference that truly combines the worlds of macro finance and crypto, with speakers like Danielle DiMartino Booth, Mike Green, Jurrien Timmer, Brent Johnson. Visit digitalassetsummit.io -- Referenced In The Show: BOE Raises Rates by Most Since 1995, Warns of Long Recession: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-08-04/boe-raises-rates-by-most-since-1995-warns-of-long-recession Sweeping Mortgage Boycott Changes the Face of Dissent in China: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2022-08-03/china-real-estate-market-crisis-protests-may-spur-multi-billion-dollar-rescue -- Follow Teddy: https://twitter.com/TeddyVallee Follow Andreas: https://twitter.com/AndreasSteno Follow Alfonso: https://twitter.com/MacroAlf Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ Subscribe To The Macro Compass: https://themacrocompass.substack.com/ Subscribe To Stenos Signals: https://andreassteno.substack.com/ Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/ -- Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (01:17) Top Stories Of The Week (10:13) DAS (11:33) Feature Interview with Teddy Vallee (16:12) Why Is Inflation Heading Lower? (21:20) Will Powell Pivot? (23:34) Market reaction To Powell's Comments (28:42) The Effects Of Quantitative Tightening (31:02) Outlook For The U.S Dollar (34:11) What Is Happening In The Bond Market? (36:49) Teddy's Actionable Trade Idea (40:51) Post Interview: Final Thoughts -- Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on The Macro Trading Floor should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

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Episoder(139)

On Bessent, Gold & Idiosyncratic Trades

On Bessent, Gold & Idiosyncratic Trades

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On Sizing Options, The Fed and The JPY

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9 Aug 37min

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The Rebasement Trade

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The Inflation Ghost, Gold and Options

The Inflation Ghost, Gold and Options

To reach out to Alf: alf@palinurocapital.com (or Alfonso Peccatiello on BBG) To reach out to Brent: bdonnelly@spectramarkets.com (or Brent Donnelly on BBG) In this episode, Alf and Brent discuss the...

22 Mai 37min

Process, Process, Process

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To reach out to Alf: alf@palinurocapital.com (or Alfonso Peccatiello on BBG) To reach out to Brent: bdonnelly@spectramarkets.com (or Brent Donnelly on BBG) In this episode, Alf and Brent focus on va...

15 Mai 33min

Macro Investing In A Post-Hormuz World

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